Herding and Price Convergence in a Laboratory Financial Market

نویسندگان

  • Marco Cipriani
  • Alberto Bisin
  • Andrew Caplin
  • Douglas Gale
  • Steffen Huck
چکیده

We study whether herding can arise in a laboratory financial market in which agents trade sequentially. Agents trade an asset whose value is unknown and whose price is efficiently set by a market maker. We show that the presence of a price mechanism destroys the possibility of herding. Most agents follow their private information and prices converge to the fundamental value. This result contrasts with the case of a fixed price, where herding and cascades arise. When the price moves, however, agents may behave as contrarian, i.e., they may trade against the market, something not accounted for by the theory. Finally, we study wheteher informational cascades arise when trade is costly (e.g, because of a Tobin tax). With trade costs, most subjects rationally decided not to trade and the price was unable to aggregate private information efficiently. (JEL C92, D8, G14)

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Herd Behavior in Financial Markets: A Field Experiment with Financial Market Professionals

We study herd behavior in a laboratory financial market with financial market professionals. We compare two treatments: one in which the price adjusts to the order flow in such a way that herding should never occur, and one in which the presence of event uncertainty makes herding possible. In the first treatment, traders seldom herd, in accordance with both the theory and previous experimental ...

متن کامل

An Investigation of Convergence Hypothesis of Price Index in Asian Stock Markets

The capital market in each country is considered as the most important part of the economy and its fluctuations may reflect the economic situation of the country. In this paper, the hypothesis of convergence of stock market price indices in Asian countries during the period from January 2007 to February 2017 is investigated using cluster analysis method. The results show that there is no eviden...

متن کامل

Impact of Herding on Buy & Hold, Momentum & Contrarian Strategy in Tehran Stock Exchange

This paper aims to study the effect of herding on buy and hold, momentum and contrarian strategy. In this research, the cross-sectional absolute deviation is used to identify herding behavior in twenty industries in Tehran stock market. It is observed that the down and boom periods had more industries with herding. Moreover, the weak herding is more common than the strong herding in this market...

متن کامل

Herd behaviour experimental testing in laboratory artificial stock market settings. Behavioural foundations of stylised facts of financial returns

Many scholars express concerns that herding behaviour causes excess volatility, destabilises financial markets, and increases the likelihood of systemic risk. We use a special formof the Strongly TypedGenetic Programming (STGP) technique to evolve a stockmarket divided into two groups—a small subset of artificial agents called ‘Best Agents’ and a main cohort of agents named ‘All Agents’. The ‘B...

متن کامل

Determinants of Bonanza Episodes and Related Effects on Financial Crises in Emerging Market Countries

Although capital inflows affect positively economies in long-run, it is possible to generate somehow destructive effects if there is no any control on financial markets. This study tries to explore main determinants of large capital inflows episodes to emerging markets. It is also investigated whether the large capital inflows episodes lead to financial crises in forms of sudden stop phenomenon...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002